Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 36.61%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.96%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
