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AFC Wimbledon
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Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Walsall
Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 4
Oct 3, 2020 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Mansfield Town

Newport
2 - 1
Mansfield

Twine (78'), Dolan (88' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
McLaughlin (69')
Perch (65'), O'Keeffe (87'), Smith (87')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and Mansfield Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 30.02% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.13%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 0-1 (10.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.

Result
Newport CountyDrawMansfield Town
41.35%28.64%30.02%
Both teams to score 44.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.6%61.41%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.7%81.3%
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76%29.24%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81%65.19%
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.31%36.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.52%73.48%
Score Analysis
    Newport County 41.35%
    Mansfield Town 30.01%
    Draw 28.62%
Newport CountyDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 13.19%
2-1 @ 8.13%
2-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 3.33%
3-2 @ 1.67%
4-1 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 41.35%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 10.72%
2-2 @ 4.08%
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.62%
0-1 @ 10.75%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-2 @ 5.39%
1-3 @ 2.22%
0-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 30.01%

Head to Head
Feb 15, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 34
Mansfield
1-0
Newport
Rose (29')
Charsley (72'), Rose (87')

Inniss (49'), Dolan (82')
Aug 3, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 1
Newport
2-2
Mansfield
Labadie (7'), Amond (34' pen.)
Labadie (14'), Amond (83')
Pearce (47'), Rose (49')
Sweeney (18'), Benning (31'), Khan (54'), Pearce (74'), Rose (81')
Mellis (68')
May 12, 2019 6pm
Semi-Finals
Mansfield
0-0
Newport
Newport win 5-3 on penalties
Jones (91')
Labadie (8'), O'Brien (19'), Butler (42'), Sheehan (65'), Matt (83'), Poole (89')
May 9, 2019 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Newport
1-1
Mansfield
Amond (83')
O'Brien (6')
Hamilton (12')
Pearce (54'), Rose (68')
Feb 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 32
Newport
1-0
Mansfield
Willmott (15')
Amond (81'), Labadie (101')

Sweeney (37'), Benning (42'), Pearce (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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