Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 44.91%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 29.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.