Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Scunthorpe United win was 1-0 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.