Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 36.36%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (6.48%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.