Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 41.05%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.4% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.14%) and 0-2 (8%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.