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Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Sutton United

Stevenage
3 - 0
Sutton

Sweeney (28'), Norris (48', 70')
Sweeney (64'), Gilbey (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Eastmond (24'), Milsom (52'), Barden (67'), John (74'), Thomas (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Sutton United

With Stevenage third in the league and yet to drop a point at the Lamex Stadium this season, we have this one as a narrow victory for the home side. Sutton will cause the Boro some problems, and have shown they can beat the division's better teams, winning against sixth-placed Barrow and seventh-placed Mansfield, but will just about come up short here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 47.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawSutton United
47.26% (-1.102 -1.1) 27.12% (0.507 0.51) 25.61% (0.595 0.59)
Both teams to score 46.25% (-0.886 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (-1.402 -1.4)58.26% (1.403 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (-1.111 -1.11)78.89% (1.111 1.11)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-1.131 -1.13)24.69% (1.132 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.77% (-1.609 -1.61)59.23% (1.61 1.61)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41% (-0.25 -0.25)38.59% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.67% (-0.238 -0.24)75.33% (0.239 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 47.26%
    Sutton United 25.61%
    Draw 27.12%
StevenageDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 13.32% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.222 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 47.26%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 9.53% (0.497 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 9.07% (0.413 0.41)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 25.61%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Sutton

Stevenage
75.0%
Draw
20.8%
Sutton United
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Stevenage
3-3
Sutton
Norris (34'), Reid (39', 64')
Prosser (55')
Smith (58'), Milsom (66' pen.), Bennett (90+8')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Sutton
0-0
Stevenage
Sutton win 4-3 on penalties

Eastmond (90+8')

Lines (33'), Vancooten (38'), Marshall (81'), Taylor (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Sutton
2-1
Stevenage
Bennett (58', 63' pen.)
John (38'), Kizzi (89')
List (55')
Taylor (47'), Coker (90+4')
Vancooten (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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