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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.23%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Bradford City |
32.5% ( -0.21) | 26.36% ( -0.08) | 41.14% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 52.35% ( 0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.73% ( 0.27) | 52.27% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.03% ( 0.23) | 73.97% ( -0.23) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.86% ( -0) | 30.14% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.72% ( -0) | 66.28% ( 0.01) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( 0.28) | 25.07% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.25% ( 0.38) | 59.75% ( -0.37) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 32.5% | 1-1 @ 12.53% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 4% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 41.14% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
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