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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 44.24%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tranmere Rovers in this match.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Hartlepool United |
44.24% | 27.12% | 28.64% |
Both teams to score 48.35% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.4% | 56.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.42% | 77.57% |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.56% | 25.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.74% | 60.26% |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.84% | 35.16% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.09% | 71.91% |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Hartlepool United |
1-0 @ 12.24% 2-1 @ 8.76% 2-0 @ 8.38% 3-1 @ 4% 3-0 @ 3.82% 3-2 @ 2.09% 4-1 @ 1.37% 4-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.27% Total : 44.24% | 1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.94% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.11% | 0-1 @ 9.35% 1-2 @ 6.69% 0-2 @ 4.89% 1-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.7% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.09% Total : 28.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 48 | 21 | 27 | 55 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 25 | 11 | 10 | 4 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 43 |
3 | Salford City | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 19 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Port Vale | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 41 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
6 | Notts County | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38 | 26 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 40 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 33 | 27 | 6 | 38 |
9 | Grimsby Town | 25 | 12 | 1 | 12 | 36 | 40 | -4 | 37 |
10 | Chesterfield | 24 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 38 | 29 | 9 | 34 |
11 | MK Dons | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 36 | 31 | 5 | 34 |
12 | Bromley | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 30 | 5 | 34 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Gillingham | 23 | 9 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 30 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 26 | -3 | 28 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 24 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 28 | 28 | 0 | 27 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 40 | -10 | 26 |
19 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 25 |
20 | Swindon TownSwindon | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 25 |
21 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 25 |
22 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 25 |
23 | Morecambe | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 20 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 18 |
> League Two Full Table |