Aberdeen logo
Scottish League Cup | Group Stage
Jul 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
Pittodrie Stadium
Dumbarton

Aberdeen
6 - 0
Dumbarton

MacKenzie (46'), Sokler (48', 61'), Ambrose (84'), McGarry (86'), Rubezic (90+2')
Rubezic (35')
FT(HT: 0-1)
(40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish League Cup clash between Aberdeen and Dumbarton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-1 Airdrieonians
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup

Dumbarton

All competitions
Scottish League Cup
Last Game: Dumbarton 3-4 Airdrieonians
Saturday, July 20 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 65.87%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Dumbarton had a probability of 15.18%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.79%), while for a Dumbarton win it was 1-2 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
AberdeenDrawDumbarton
65.87% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)18.95% (0.038 0.04)15.18% (0.132 0.13)
Both teams to score 55.64% (0.195 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.25% (0.093000000000004 0.09)37.74% (-0.095000000000006 -0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.01% (0.096000000000004 0.1)59.99% (-0.1 -0.1)
Aberdeen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.31% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)10.69% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.41% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)34.59% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Dumbarton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.3% (0.232 0.23)37.69% (-0.235 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.53% (0.225 0.22)74.47% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Aberdeen 65.87%
    Dumbarton 15.18%
    Draw 18.95%
AberdeenDrawDumbarton
2-0 @ 10.07% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.01% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.51% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 7.32% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 4.2% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 4.1% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.021 0.02)
4-2 @ 2% (0.011 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.88% (-0.015 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.83% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.57%
Total : 65.87%
1-1 @ 8.79% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.79% (0.032 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.16% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 18.95%
1-2 @ 4.29% (0.032 0.03)
0-1 @ 3.93% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 1.92% (0.015 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.4% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 15.18%

How you voted: Aberdeen vs Dumbarton

Aberdeen
82.1%
Draw
14.3%
Dumbarton
3.6%
28
Head to Head
Jul 13, 2022 7.45pm
Group Stage
Aberdeen
2-0
Dumbarton
Blair (36' og.), Kennedy (57')
Besuijen (43')
Apr 3, 2021 12.15pm
Third Round
Dumbarton
0-1
Aberdeen

Wedderburn (44')
Hendry (84')
Hoban (69')
> Match Report
Jan 18, 2020 3pm
Fourth Round
Aberdeen
1-0
Dumbarton
Cosgrove (86' pen.)

Brennan (87')
> Match Report
Mar 8, 2014 3pm
Quarter-Finals
Aberdeen
1-0
Dumbarton
Rooney (53')
> Match Report