Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 66.25%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Queen of the South had a probability of 15.21%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.63%) and 0-1 (8.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.48%), while for a Queen of the South win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.

Result
Queen of the South	Draw	Aberdeen
15.21% ( -3.37)	18.53% ( -1.34)	66.25% ( 4.7)

Both teams to score 57.3% (

-2.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.34% (

35.65% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.28% (

57.72% (

-0.01)

Queen of the South Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.68% (

-3.85)

36.32% (

3.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.89% (

-4.11)

73.1% (

4.1)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.99% (

1.18)

10.01% (

-1.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.95% (

2.66)

33.05% (

-2.67)

Score Analysis

Queen of the South 15.21%

Aberdeen 66.25%

Draw 18.53%

Queen of the South	Draw	Aberdeen
2-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.74) 1-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.41) 2-0 @ 1.87% ( -0.44) 3-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.4) 3-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.44) Other @ 2.26% Total : 15.21%	1-1 @ 8.48% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.57) 0-0 @ 3.64% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.2% Total : 18.53%	1-2 @ 9.75% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 9.63% ( 0.91) 0-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.4) 1-3 @ 7.48% ( 0.33) 0-3 @ 7.39% ( 1.03) 1-4 @ 4.31% ( 0.39) 0-4 @ 4.25% ( 0.77) 2-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.98% ( 0.27) 0-5 @ 1.96% ( 0.43) 2-5 @ 1% ( 0.04) Other @ 4.16% Total : 66.25%