Ligue 2 | Gameweek 29
Mar 16, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps
Auxerre2 - 1Caen
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Auxerre and Caen.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Etienne 1-0 Auxerre
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Caen 0-1 Paris FC
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Saturday, March 9 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Caen had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (6.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Caen |
56.26% ( 0.01) | 23.3% ( -0) | 20.44% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 51.45% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.57% ( 0.01) | 48.43% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.44% ( 0.01) | 70.56% ( -0.01) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.98% ( 0) | 17.02% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.84% ( 0.01) | 47.16% ( -0.01) |
Caen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62% ( 0) | 38% ( -0) |