Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 56.87%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Caen had a probability of 17.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Caen win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
