Women's Super League | Gameweek 4
Oct 12, 2024 at 1.45pm UK
Meadow Park
Arsenal1 - 2Chelsea
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Bayern Munich 5-2 Arsenal
Wednesday, October 9 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Wednesday, October 9 at 5.45pm in Women's Champions League
Last Game: Chelsea 3-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 8 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
Tuesday, October 8 at 8pm in Women's Champions League
We said: Arsenal Women 2-2 Chelsea Women
Chelsea will be full of confidence after winning their opening three matches of the season, while Arsenal are struggling to produce their best form in the opening stages of the season. However, with that said, the Gunners have avoided defeat in each of their previous four home WSL meetings with Chelsea, and we think that they may do just enough to take a point from Saturday's contest. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 42.24%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 31.22% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Women | Draw | Chelsea Women |
42.24% ( -2.73) | 26.55% ( 0.72) | 31.22% ( 2.01) |
| Both teams to score 51.3% ( -1.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
