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Women's Super League | Gameweek 16
Mar 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
Kingsmeadow

Chelsea Women
3 - 1
Arsenal Women

James (15'), Nusken (21', 32')
Hampton (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Macario (86' og.)
McCabe (42'), Lacasse (67')

The Match

Match Report

Arsenal retain the Women's League Cup after Stina Blackstenius scores an extra-time winner against Chelsea at Molineux.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Women's Super League clash between Chelsea Women and Arsenal Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arsenal Women 1-0 Spurs Ladies
Sunday, March 3 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Chelsea Women had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.76%). The likeliest Chelsea Women win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Chelsea WomenDrawArsenal Women
32.1% (0.25 0.25) 24.35% (0.016999999999999 0.02) 43.55% (-0.268 -0.27)
Both teams to score 58.94% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.36% (0.021999999999998 0.02)43.64% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.96% (0.019999999999996 0.02)66.03% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Chelsea Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (0.17 0.17)26.15% (-0.17 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (0.223 0.22)61.22% (-0.223 -0.22)
Arsenal Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.81% (-0.10899999999999 -0.11)20.19% (0.108 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.51% (-0.174 -0.17)52.49% (0.172 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Chelsea Women 32.1%
    Arsenal Women 43.55%
    Draw 24.35%
Chelsea WomenDrawArsenal Women
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 7.08% (0.027 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.75% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.4% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.72% (0.018 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.028 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.14% (0.016 0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.1%
1-1 @ 11.33% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.08% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.28% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.35%
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.45% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.76% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.84% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.6% (-0.041 -0.04)
2-3 @ 3.24% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.44% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 43.55%

How you voted: Chelsea Women vs Arsenal Women

Chelsea Women
21.1%
Draw
47.4%
Arsenal Women
31.6%
19
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Arsenal Women
4-1
Chelsea Women
Mead (8'), Ilestedt (36'), Russo (38', 74' pen.)
McCabe (54'), Foord (56'), Maritz (82'), Maanum (84'), Pelova (87')
Rytting-Kaneryd (13')
James (70')
May 21, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 21
Chelsea Women
2-0
Arsenal Women
Reiten (22'), Ericsson (41')

Wubben-Moy (34'), McCabe (45+1')
Jan 15, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 11
Arsenal Women
1-1
Chelsea Women
Little (57' pen.)
Kerr (89')
Apr 17, 2022 12.30pm
Semi-Finals
Arsenal Women
0-2
Chelsea Women

Mead (48')
Reiten (50'), So-yun (61')
Cuthbert (65')
Feb 11, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Chelsea Women
0-0
Arsenal Women
Reiten (52')
Maritz (44'), Walti (53')
rhs 2.0
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