Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 92.34%. A draw had a probability of 5.5% and a win for ASWH had a probability of 2.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-4 (11.2%) and 0-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.58%), while for an ASWH win it was 2-1 (0.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.