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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.31%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Heerenveen |
39.19% ( 0.81) | 24.02% ( 0.01) | 36.78% ( -0.81) |
Both teams to score 61.35% ( -0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.99% ( -0.07) | 41% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.6% ( -0.07) | 63.4% ( 0.07) |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.93% ( 0.36) | 21.07% ( -0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.11% ( 0.56) | 53.88% ( -0.56) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.73% ( -0.44) | 22.27% ( 0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.28% ( -0.67) | 55.72% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Heerenveen |
2-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.44% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.76% Total : 39.19% | 1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.27% Total : 24.02% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.1) 1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.06) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.46% Total : 36.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |