Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 50.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.