Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 46.67%. A win for Airdrieonians had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Airdrieonians win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.