Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Gradski stadion
Backa Topola1 - 5M. Tel Aviv
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: M. Tel Aviv 3-0 Backa Topola
Thursday, August 22 at 7pm in Europa League
Thursday, August 22 at 7pm in Europa League
We said: Backa Topola 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv (Maccabi Tel Aviv win 3-2 on aggregate)
Supported by a passionate and hostile home crowd, Backa Topola should have enough to win the contest on the night, although it might not be enough to satisfy their need for at least three goals. Maccabi will be looking to avoid another European capitulation after last season's 6-1 defeat to Olympiacos, and we feel that the Yellows will narrowly do just that. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Backa Topola win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Backa Topola win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Backa Topola | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
37.46% ( -0.01) | 26% ( 0) | 36.54% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 54.23% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.82% ( -0.02) | 50.18% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.86% ( -0.02) | 72.14% ( 0.02) |
Backa Topola Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.9% ( -0.01) | 26.1% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.85% ( -0.02) | 61.15% ( 0.02) |
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.38% ( -0.01) | 26.62% ( 0.01) |