MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 12:03:53| >> :120:34904:34904:
Europa League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 29, 2024 at 8pm UK
Gradski stadion

Backa Topola
1 - 5
M. Tel Aviv

Mboungou (90+2')
Radin (15'), Stevanovic (22'), Dakovac (54'), Mboungou (90+1'), Mboungou (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Addo (2', 6'), Asante (12'), Turgeman (56'), Shahar (89')
Yehezkel (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Backa Topola and Maccabi Tel Aviv, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: M. Tel Aviv 3-0 Backa Topola
Thursday, August 22 at 7pm in Europa League
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We said: Backa Topola 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv (Maccabi Tel Aviv win 3-2 on aggregate)

Supported by a passionate and hostile home crowd, Backa Topola should have enough to win the contest on the night, although it might not be enough to satisfy their need for at least three goals. Maccabi will be looking to avoid another European capitulation after last season's 6-1 defeat to Olympiacos, and we feel that the Yellows will narrowly do just that. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Backa Topola win with a probability of 37.46%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 36.54% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Backa Topola win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.

Result
Backa TopolaDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
37.46% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 26% (0.004999999999999 0) 36.54% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 54.23% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.82% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)50.18% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.86% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)72.14% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Backa Topola Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.9% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)26.1% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.85% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)61.15% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)26.62% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.14% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)61.85% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Backa Topola 37.46%
    Maccabi Tel Aviv 36.54%
    Draw 26%
Backa TopolaDrawMaccabi Tel Aviv
1-0 @ 9.33% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.3% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 6.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.25% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.46%
1-1 @ 12.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 9.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.08% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.61% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.68%
2-3 @ 2.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.54%

How you voted: Backa Topola vs M. Tel Aviv

Backa Topola
50.0%
Draw
20.0%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
30.0%
40
Head to Head
Aug 22, 2024 7pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
M. Tel Aviv
3-0
Backa Topola
Turgeman (27'), Peretz (63'), Madmon (83')
Sissokho (59')

Vlalukin (45'), Petrovic (67'), Capan (71'), Radin (79')
Dordevic (42'), Banjac (45+2')
rhs 2.0
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