We said: FCSB 2-0 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Though FCSB posted two disappointing draws to start the SuperLiga season, they can make the most of home advantage and take a firm grip on this tie by winning in Bucharest.
Maccabi Tel-Aviv particularly need a good result on Tuesday, with the second leg to be held in neutral Hungary next week, but they have had fewer competitive matches to prepare.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FCSB win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a FCSB win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.