MX23RW : Thursday, January 30 18:42:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Ligue 2 | Gameweek 23
Feb 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Armand-Cesari
AC Ajaccio

Bastia
1 - 0
Ajaccio

Alfarela (54')
Vincent (29'), Bianchini (90+8')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ibayi (76'), Chanot (82')
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Bastia and Ajaccio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Valenciennes 3-1 Bastia
Saturday, January 27 at 6pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Ajaccio 1-0 Concarneau
Saturday, January 27 at 6pm in Ligue 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bastia win with a probability of 44.2%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 27.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bastia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.92%) and 2-1 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.08%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 0-1 (10.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bastia in this match.

Result
BastiaDrawAjaccio
44.2% (-0.109 -0.11) 28.54% (0.141 0.14) 27.25% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 43.67% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.87% (-0.471 -0.47)62.13% (0.472 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.16% (-0.347 -0.35)81.83% (0.348 0.35)
Bastia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97% (-0.283 -0.28)28.03% (0.284 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32% (-0.362 -0.36)63.68% (0.364 0.36)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.67% (-0.29000000000001 -0.29)39.33% (0.292 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.97% (-0.273 -0.27)76.03% (0.274 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Bastia 44.2%
    Ajaccio 27.25%
    Draw 28.54%
BastiaDrawAjaccio
1-0 @ 14.02% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 8.92% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.32% (-0.052000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.78% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.53% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.65% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.2% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 44.2%
1-1 @ 13.08% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 11.02% (0.2 0.2)
2-2 @ 3.88% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.54%
0-1 @ 10.28% (0.1 0.1)
1-2 @ 6.11% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.8% (0.008 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 27.25%

How you voted: Bastia vs Ajaccio

Bastia
58.8%
Draw
29.4%
Ajaccio
11.8%
17
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Ajaccio
2-0
Bastia
Bammou (59'), Barreto (89')

Roncaglia (77')
Tavares (43')
Mar 12, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Ajaccio
0-1
Bastia
Roncaglia (42')
Boyer (10'), Robic (26'), Palun (49'), Sylla (85'), Santelli (87')
Sep 25, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Bastia
2-0
Ajaccio
Santelli (49' pen.), Schur (63')
Schur (61')

Courtet (34'), Kalulu (42'), Ismael (51')
Apr 20, 2014 4pm
Bastia
2-1
Ajaccio
Raspentino (32'), Squillaci (88')
Diakite (17')
Camara (4')
Faty (41'), Hengbart (67')
Dec 4, 2013 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Lorient20124434191540
2Metz20107330141637
3Paris FCParis FC20114531191237
4DunkerqueDunkerque2011363024636
5GuingampGuingamp20112735241135
6Laval2096530191133
7Annecy209652725233
8PauPau207762322128
9Grenoble208392325-227
10Bastia2051142319426
11AmiensAmiens2082102128-726
12Clermont206681923-424
13Rodez AFRodez AF206593234-223
14Red Star2064102136-1522
15Troyes2063111923-421
16Ajaccio2063111525-1021
17Caen2043131929-1015
18Martigues2043131337-2415


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