Ligue 2 | Gameweek 9
Oct 2, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Ajaccio2 - 0Bastia
Coverage of the Ligue 2 clash between Ajaccio and Bastia.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Amiens 0-0 Ajaccio
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Last Game: Bastia 1-4 Pau
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in Ligue 2
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajaccio win with a probability of 37.37%. A win for Bastia had a probability of 33.66% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajaccio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.66%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Bastia win was 0-1 (11.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajaccio would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ajaccio | Draw | Bastia |
37.37% ( -0) | 28.97% ( 0) | 33.66% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.84% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.19% ( -0.01) | 61.81% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.41% ( -0.01) | 81.59% ( 0.01) |
| Ajaccio Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.2% ( -0.01) | 31.8% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.76% ( -0.01) | 68.24% ( 0.02) |
| Bastia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( -0.01) | 34.24% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.06% ( -0.01) | 70.94% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Ajaccio 37.36%
Bastia 33.66%
Draw 28.96%
| Ajaccio | Draw | Bastia |
| 1-0 @ 12.47% 2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0)2-0 @ 7.15% 3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0)Other @ 2.87% Total : 37.36% | 1-1 @ 13.37% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 4.1% ( -0)Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.96% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.25% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 33.66% |
How you voted: Ajaccio vs Bastia
Ajaccio
80.0%Draw
20.0%Bastia
0.0%10
Head to Head
Mar 12, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 28
Ajaccio
0-1
Bastia
Sep 25, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 10
Bastia
2-0
Ajaccio
Apr 20, 2014 4pm
Dec 4, 2013 6pm
Oct 29, 2013 5pm
