We said: Belarus 1-1 Israel
There has never been a draw between these two sides, but we are backing that run to end on Tuesday evening. Both sides will be looking for a positive result ahead of the UEFA Nations League, and we are backing Belarus to hold Israel to a draw in this contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 65.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 14.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.48%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Belarus win it was 1-0 (4.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Israel would win this match.