MX23RW : Monday, January 20 16:48:29| >> :60:136:136:
Belarus national football team
Friendlies 2
Mar 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht
Montenegro national football team

Belarus
0 - 2
Montenegro

FT(HT: 0-2)
Marusic (27'), Krstovic (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's friendly clash between Belarus and Montenegro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Belarus

All competitions
Last Game: Kosovo 0-1 Belarus
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Romania101122
2Switzerland101117
3Israel10015
4Belarus10-512
5Kosovo10011
6Andorra10-172

Montenegro

All competitions
Last Game: Hungary 3-1 Montenegro
Sunday, November 19 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Belarus 1-2 Montenegro

 In four meetings since Montenegrin independence, there has been two draws, with the Brave Falcons claiming success on the other two occasions, including in their most recent fixture in 2019. It is hard to see past another Montenegro win given their form in Euro 2024 qualifying, but Belarus sprung many surprises in their own group, so expect a close encounter here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-0 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.

Result
BelarusDrawMontenegro
30.77% (-0.004999999999999 -0) 28.75% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 40.47% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 44.76% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.41% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)61.58% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.56% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)81.43% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.78% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)36.21% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)72.99% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Montenegro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.17% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.82% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.09% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)65.9% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Belarus 30.76%
    Montenegro 40.47%
    Draw 28.75%
BelarusDrawMontenegro
1-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.57%
3-1 @ 2.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 1.89% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 30.76%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.8% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.08% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.75%
0-1 @ 13.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 7.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 3.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 40.47%

How you voted: Belarus vs Montenegro

Belarus
13.6%
Draw
18.2%
Montenegro
68.2%
22
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2019 5pm
International Friendlies
Montenegro
2-0
Belarus
Mugosa (9'), Haksabanovic (14')
Vujacic (51')

Kislyak (25'), Bessmertny (91')
rhs 2.0
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