Friendlies 2
Mar 21, 2024 at 5pm UK
Olimpiyskiy Stadion Fisht
Belarus0 - 2Montenegro
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kosovo 0-1 Belarus
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group I Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Romania | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Switzerland | 10 | 11 | 17 |
| 3 | Israel | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 4 | Belarus | 10 | -5 | 12 |
| 5 | Kosovo | 10 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Andorra | 10 | -17 | 2 |
Last Game: Hungary 3-1 Montenegro
Sunday, November 19 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Sunday, November 19 at 2pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 8 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Serbia | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 8 | -6 | 6 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 8 | -7 | 4 |
We said: Belarus 1-2 Montenegro
In four meetings since Montenegrin independence, there has been two draws, with the Brave Falcons claiming success on the other two occasions, including in their most recent fixture in 2019. It is hard to see past another Montenegro win given their form in Euro 2024 qualifying, but Belarus sprung many surprises in their own group, so expect a close encounter here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Belarus had a probability of 30.77% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Belarus win was 1-0 (10.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Montenegro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Belarus | Draw | Montenegro |
30.77% ( -0) | 28.75% ( 0.01) | 40.47% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.76% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
