MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 18:44:31| >> :120:55377:55377:
Europa League | League Stage
Nov 7, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion
Qarabag

Bodo/Glimt
1 - 2
Qarabag

Berg (41')
Berg (89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Bayramov (22'), Richard (69')
Medina (78'), Kochalski (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Bodo/Glimt and Qarabag FK, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Molde 3-3 Bodo/Glimt
Sunday, November 3 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Qarabag 0-3 Ajax
Thursday, October 24 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Bodo/Glimt 2-0 Qarabag FK

With 25 wins in their last 31 home games, Bodo/Glimt are near-invincible in the Arctic Circle in Europe, while Qarabag are often poor travellers and have made a very disappointing start to their continental campaign. One positive facet for the away side is that they are unbeaten in five previous meetings with Norwegian sides, and drew 2-2 with Molde on their last visit to the country a year ago, however this is a much tougher venue, and a win is needed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.74%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 1-2 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawQarabag FK
51.53% (-1.247 -1.25) 21.69% (0.327 0.33) 26.78% (0.915 0.91)
Both teams to score 64.93% (-0.306 -0.31)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.77% (-0.783 -0.78)34.22% (0.779 0.78)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.88% (-0.888 -0.89)56.11% (0.883 0.88)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.39% (-0.655 -0.66)13.6% (0.653 0.65)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.25% (-1.319 -1.32)40.74% (1.315 1.32)
Qarabag FK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.15% (0.212 0.21)24.85% (-0.216 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.55% (0.298 0.3)59.44% (-0.302 -0.3)
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 51.53%
    Qarabag FK 26.78%
    Draw 21.69%
Bodo/GlimtDrawQarabag FK
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
1-0 @ 6.74% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.73% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.23% (-0.166 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.47% (-0.148 -0.15)
3-2 @ 4.34% (-0.088 -0.09)
4-1 @ 3.11% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.23% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-2 @ 2.16% (-0.098 -0.1)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.096 -0.1)
4-3 @ 1% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 51.53%
1-1 @ 9.39% (0.208 0.21)
2-2 @ 6.52% (0.028 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.38% (0.134 0.13)
3-3 @ 2.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 21.69%
1-2 @ 6.54% (0.184 0.18)
0-1 @ 4.71% (0.215 0.22)
0-2 @ 3.28% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.104 0.1)
2-3 @ 3.03% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.52% (0.087 0.09)
1-4 @ 1.06% (0.042 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.05% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 26.78%

How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs Qarabag

Bodo/Glimt
85.5%
Draw
11.4%
Qarabag FK
3.0%
166
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Packers
@
Bears
6pm
Raiders
@
Dolphins
6pm
Colts
@
Jets
6pm
Jags
@
Lions
6pm
Rams
@
Patriots
6pm
Browns
@
Saints
6pm
Ravens
@
Steelers
6pm
Vikings
@
Titans
9.05pm
Seahawks
@
49ers
9.05pm
Falcons
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!