Copa Libertadores | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Oct 24, 2024 at 1.45am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Botafogo5 - 0Penarol
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Botafogo 1-1 Criciuma
Saturday, October 19 at 12am in Brasileiro
Saturday, October 19 at 12am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
52
We said: Botafogo 1-0 Penarol
The Penarol backline will be difficult to penetrate, but Fogo are equally sharp on the back end, and we believe they will eventually find a way to score as they have throughout the campaign. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 62.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Penarol had a probability of 15.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Penarol win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Botafogo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Botafogo | Draw | Penarol |
62.17% ( -0.91) | 22.62% ( 0.31) | 15.21% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 43.95% ( 0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
