Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 26, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Cicero Pompeu de Toledo
Sao Paulo1 - 1Botafogo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-3 Internacional
Sunday, September 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
37
We said: Sao Paulo 0-1 Botafogo (Botafogo advances 1-0 on aggregate)
Fogo have won countless one-goal games in the Brazilian top-flight this season, and we trust their consistency against Brasileiro opposition will continue in midweek and carry them into the final four of this tournament. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 26.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.01%) and 2-1 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sao Paulo | Draw | Botafogo |
45.65% ( -0.22) | 27.6% ( 0.33) | 26.75% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 45.81% ( -0.99) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.75% ( -1.22) | 59.25% ( 1.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.34% ( -0.95) | 79.66% ( 0.95) |
Sao Paulo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.07% ( -0.66) | 25.93% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.07% ( -0.9) | 60.93% ( 0.91) |
Botafogo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.85% ( -0.77) | 38.15% ( 0.77) |