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Botafogo logo
Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 19, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Nilton Santos
Sao Paulo

Botafogo
vs.
Sao Paulo

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Botafogo and Sao Paulo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Corinthians
Sunday, September 15 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 0-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, September 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

We say: Botafogo 2-1 Sao Paulo

Botafogo's rise to the summit of the league standings has been nothing short of remarkable, and they will enter this match brimming with confidence, unbeaten in their last six matches in all competitions. Additionally, the hosts are riding a four-match winning streak at Estadio Nilton Santos and we feel they will extend that record with another victory in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Botafogo win with a probability of 45.07%. A draw has a probability of 27.9% and a win for Sao Paulo has a probability of 27.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.96%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (12.95%), while for a Sao Paulo win it is 0-1 (9.79%).

Result
BotafogoDrawSao Paulo
45.07% (0.989 0.99) 27.91% (-0.403 -0.4) 27.01% (-0.593 -0.59)
Both teams to score 45.16% (0.683 0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.83% (1.049 1.05)60.16% (-1.057 -1.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.63% (0.789 0.79)80.36% (-0.797 -0.8)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.35% (1.005 1.01)26.64% (-1.014 -1.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.11% (1.315 1.32)61.88% (-1.322 -1.32)
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.56% (0.082999999999998 0.08)38.43% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.81% (0.082000000000001 0.08)75.18% (-0.089999999999989 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Botafogo 45.07%
    Sao Paulo 27.01%
    Draw 27.91%
BotafogoDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.54% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-0 @ 8.96% (0.156 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.56% (0.169 0.17)
3-0 @ 3.95% (0.178 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.78% (0.179 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.81% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.25% (0.092 0.09)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 45.07%
1-1 @ 12.95% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-0 @ 10.24% (-0.41 -0.41)
2-2 @ 4.1% (0.091 0.09)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.368 -0.37)
1-2 @ 6.19% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.68% (-0.166 -0.17)
1-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 27.01%

Who will win Thursday's Copa Libertadores clash between Botafogo and Sao Paulo?

Botafogo
Draw
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
91.3%
Draw
8.7%
Sao Paulo
0.0%
23
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2024 11.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sao Paulo
2-2
Botafogo
Moura (6' pen.), Ferreira (60')
Rafinha (24'), Franco (45+5'), Moura (51'), Cuiabano (63'), Luciano (76')
Tiquinho (11' pen.), Cuiabano (22')
Gregore (39'), Freitas (59'), Jorge (62'), Freitas (63')
Jul 24, 2024 11.30pm
Gameweek 19
Sao Paulo
2-2
Botafogo
Moura (6' pen.), Ferreira (60')
Rafinha (24'), Franco (45+5'), Moura (51'), Cuiabano (63'), Luciano (76')
Tiquinho (11' pen.), Cuiabano (22')
Gregore (39'), Freitas (59'), Jorge (62'), Freitas (63')
Aug 19, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Sao Paulo
0-0
Botafogo
Luciano (50'), Welington (53'), Diego (90+1'), Rafinha (90+3')
Di Placido (2'), Tche (61')
Apr 15, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 1
Botafogo
2-1
Sao Paulo
Tiquinho (4'), Eduardo (88')
Calleri (15')
Oct 9, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 31
Sao Paulo
0-1
Botafogo
Tiquinho (90' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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2Arsenal431061510
3Newcastle UnitedNewcastle431063310
4Liverpool43017169
5Aston Villa43017619
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton42206248
7Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest42204228
8Chelsea42118537
9Brentford42026606
10Manchester UnitedMan Utd42025506
11Bournemouth41215505
12Fulham41214405
13Tottenham HotspurSpurs41126424
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham411256-14
15Leicester CityLeicester402257-22
16Crystal Palace402247-32
17Ipswich TownIpswich402227-52
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves4013411-71
19Southampton400418-70
20Everton4004413-90


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