Copa Libertadores | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg
Sep 26, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Campeon del Siglo
Penarol0 - 0Flamengo
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cerro 0-5 Penarol
Sunday, September 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Sunday, September 22 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Goals
for
for
51
Last Game: Gremio 3-2 Flamengo
Sunday, September 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 22 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
We said: Penarol 0-0 Flamengo (Penarol advances 1-0 on aggregate)
Flamengo had the bulk of the possession in the opening leg (77%) but could not do much with it, and we believe their frustrations will continue against a well-drilled Penarol side who have shown tremendous discipline in recent matches. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Flamengo win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Penarol had a probability of 30.04% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Flamengo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (8.1%). The likeliest Penarol win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Penarol | Draw | Flamengo |
30.04% ( -0.15) | 28.32% ( 0.03) | 41.64% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 45.65% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
