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EFL Cup
Brentford logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Leyton Orient

Brentford
3 - 1
Leyton Orient

Carvalho (17'), Damsgaard (26'), Norgaard (45')
Norgaard (60')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Cooper (11')
Donley (39'), Simpson (42')
Simpson (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Brentford and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brentford

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Man City 2-1 Brentford
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in Premier League

Leyton Orient

All competitions
EFL Cup
Last Game: Reading 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in League One

We said: Brentford 3-1 Leyton Orient

 If Brentford are able to replicate their first-half performance against Manchester City on Tuesday, then they should be clear favourites to progress. It would not be surprising if the Bees took an early lead against Leyton Orient, and considering the visitors' struggles this season, it is difficult to see them getting back into the game in that scenario. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 46.19%. A win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Leyton Orient win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Brentford in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Brentford.

Result
BrentfordDrawLeyton Orient
46.19% (-1.931 -1.93) 24.07% (0.585 0.59) 29.74% (1.346 1.35)
Both teams to score 58.67% (-1.113 -1.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.54% (-1.878 -1.88)43.46% (1.879 1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.15% (-1.871 -1.87)65.85% (1.871 1.87)
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.01% (-1.5 -1.5)18.99% (1.5 1.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.47% (-2.554 -2.55)50.53% (2.554 2.55)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.42% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)27.58% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.89% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)63.11% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Brentford 46.19%
    Leyton Orient 29.74%
    Draw 24.07%
BrentfordDrawLeyton Orient
2-1 @ 9.31% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-0 @ 8.7% (0.302 0.3)
2-0 @ 7.23% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-1 @ 5.16% (-0.332 -0.33)
3-0 @ 4% (-0.254 -0.25)
3-2 @ 3.32% (-0.217 -0.22)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.251 -0.25)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.193 -0.19)
4-2 @ 1.38% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 46.19%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.38 0.38)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.090999999999999 -0.09)
0-0 @ 5.24% (0.42 0.42)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.07%
1-2 @ 7.22% (0.236 0.24)
0-1 @ 6.75% (0.535 0.54)
0-2 @ 4.34% (0.341 0.34)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.099 0.1)
2-3 @ 2.57% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.87% (0.144 0.14)
1-4 @ 1% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 29.74%

How you voted: Brentford vs Leyton Orient

Brentford
82.1%
Draw
6.8%
Leyton Orient
11.1%
117
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2014 12.15pm
Leyton Orient
0-1
Brentford

Sawyer (41'), Omozusi (69')
Trotta (45')
Tarkowski (19'), Donaldson (40'), Forshaw (53'), Judge (86')
Tarkowski (49')
> Match Report
Sep 23, 2013 7.45pm
Brentford
0-2
Leyton Orient

Diagouraga (52'), Logan (64'), Dean (88')
Mooney (65' pen.), Batt (85')
Baudry (73'), James (78'), Cox (89')
> Match Report
Jan 22, 2013 7.45pm
Brentford
2-2
Leyton Orient
Donaldson (39'), Hayes (16')
Bidwell (44')
Bidwell (57')
Cook (86'), Rowlands (6')
Sep 13, 2012 7.45pm
Leyton Orient
1-0
Brentford
Brunt (75')
McSweeney (57'), Cook (73')

Craig (40'), Bidwell (80')
Mar 17, 2012 3pm
Leyton Orient
2-0
Brentford
Smith (45'), Lisbie (29')
Forbes (83')

Logan (40'), Donaldson (64')
rhs 2.0
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