Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 64.27%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 16.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.68%) and 1-0 (7.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Manchester United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Manchester United.