Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.95%) and 2-0 (5.53%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.