Brentford2 - 4Newcastle
The Match
Match Report
Preview
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Wednesday, May 15 at 8pm in Premier League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.87%) and 0-2 (5.45%). The likeliest Brentford win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Newcastle United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Brentford | Draw | Newcastle United |
37.42% ( -1.16) | 23.67% ( 0.15) | 38.9% ( 1) |
| Both teams to score 62.72% ( -0.61) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.76% ( -0.78) | 39.24% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.43% ( -0.82) | 61.57% ( 0.82) |
| Brentford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.84% ( -0.9) | 21.16% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.98% ( -1.42) | 54.01% ( 1.42) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.56% ( 0.14) | 20.44% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.1% ( 0.22) | 52.89% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Brentford | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.12) 1-0 @ 6.72% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.12)4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.42% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 6.58% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 8.47% ( 0.15) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.28)0-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.1)2-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.38% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.98% Total : 38.9% |
