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EFL Cup
Bristol City
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Coventry City

Bristol City
0 - 1
Coventry


Naismith (29'), Armstrong (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Simms (65')
Dasilva (7'), Palmer (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Bristol City and Coventry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Last Game: Hull City 1-1 Bristol City
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

Coventry City

All competitions
Last Game: Stoke 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, August 10 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Bristol City 1-2 Coventry City

 Bristol City will be desperate to win in front of their Ashton Gate faithful after dropping two points in the final moments at Hull on the weekend. Coventry have a number of exciting attackers who are set to start on Tuesday even if Robins elects to rotate his XI, so we are envisaging progression into the second round for the Sky Blues. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 35.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawCoventry City
38.29% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 25.77% (0.0020000000000024 0) 35.94% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 54.98% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.8% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)49.2% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.73% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)71.27% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)25.19% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)59.92% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.49% (0.012 0.01)26.51% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.3% (0.012 0.01)61.7% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 38.29%
    Coventry City 35.94%
    Draw 25.77%
Bristol CityDrawCoventry City
1-0 @ 9.21%
2-1 @ 8.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 6.35% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 3.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 2.92% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.57% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 38.29%
1-1 @ 12.22%
0-0 @ 6.68% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.77%
0-1 @ 8.87% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.12% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 5.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.59% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.61% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.48%
1-4 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 35.94%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Coventry

Bristol City
35.9%
Draw
12.5%
Coventry City
51.6%
64
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Coventry
2-2
Bristol City
Sakamoto (27'), Simms (86')
van Ewijk (90+1')
Dickie (45+1'), Wells (83')
Pring (85'), McCrorie (90+3')
> Preview
Oct 21, 2023 3pm
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Weimann (55'), Yeboah (90+5')

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> Preview
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Bristol City
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> Preview
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Coventry
> Preview
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