Bristol City2 - 0Newport
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 4 at 12.30pm in Championship
Saturday, July 20 at 2.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
We said: Bristol City 2-0 Newport County
Newport should be ahead of Bristol City in terms of fitness, but there will be a huge gap in the quality of the two sets of players, and we are expecting the Championship side to open their pre-season with a win. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 19.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (6.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bristol City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bristol City.
Result | ||
Bristol City | Draw | Newport County |
57.36% ( 5.57) | 23.24% ( -1.33) | 19.39% ( -4.24) |
Both teams to score 49.99% ( -1.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.46% ( 0.62) | 49.53% ( -0.62) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.44% ( 0.55) | 71.56% ( -0.55) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.97% ( 2.32) | 17.03% ( -2.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.83% ( 3.95) | 47.17% ( -3.95) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.25% ( -3.88) | 39.75% ( 3.88) |