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Africa Cup of Nations
Burkina Faso national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 14, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stade 26 Mars
Senegal national football team

Burkina Faso
0 - 1
Senegal

FT(HT: 0-0)
Diarra (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Burkina Faso and Senegal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burkina Faso

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Burundi 0-2 Burkina Faso
Sunday, October 13 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Senegal

All competitions
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: Malawi 0-1 Senegal
Tuesday, October 15 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Burkina Faso 1-2 Senegal

 The last three meetings between Burkina Faso and Senegal have seen a combined 10 goals scored, and we anticipate another action-packed contest at the Stade du 26 Mars on Thursday. Burkina Faso narrowly avoided defeat when the two nations met in September, and while they have been tough to crack in the qualifiers, Senegal's quality should see them to all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 44.29%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 27.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.82%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.03%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 1-0 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Senegal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Senegal.

Result
Burkina FasoDrawSenegal
27.51% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 28.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 44.29% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.73% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.14% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)60.86% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.11% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)80.89% (0.047000000000011 0.05)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.6% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)38.4% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.84% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)75.15% (0.061999999999998 0.06)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)27.37% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.16% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)62.84% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Burkina Faso 27.51%
    Senegal 44.29%
    Draw 28.18%
Burkina FasoDrawSenegal
1-0 @ 10.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 1.99% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.54% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.29% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 27.51%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 10.51% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.04% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 28.18%
0-1 @ 13.61% (0.02 0.02)
0-2 @ 8.82% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 3.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.23%
1-4 @ 1.18% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 44.29%

How you voted: Burkina Faso vs Senegal

Burkina Faso
18.9%
Draw
45.9%
Senegal
35.1%
37
Head to Head
Sep 6, 2024 8pm
Group Stage
Senegal
1-1
Burkina Faso
Mane (16')
Bouda (90+5')
> Preview
Feb 2, 2022 7pm
Semi-Finals
Burkina Faso
1-3
Senegal
Toure (82')
Guira (28')
Diallo (70'), Gueye (76'), Mane (87')
Sarr (50'), Abou Cisse (90+3')
> Preview
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