MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 11:55:42| >> :600:1063345:1063345:
Senegal national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Leopold Sedar Senghor
Burkina Faso national football team

Senegal
1 - 1
Burkina Faso

Mane (16')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bouda (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Senegal and Burkina Faso, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Mauritania 0-1 Senegal
Sunday, June 9 at 5pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa
All competitions
Last Game: Burkina Faso 2-2 Sierra Leone
Monday, June 10 at 8pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

We said: Senegal 2-0 Burkina Faso

Given Senegal's strong form and their depth of attacking options, combined with Burkina Faso's recent struggles and defensive vulnerabilities, a simple victory for Senegal is likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Senegal win with a probability of 53.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Burkina Faso had a probability of 19.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a Senegal win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Burkina Faso win it was 0-1 (8.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.

Result
SenegalDrawBurkina Faso
53.49% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05) 26.65% (-0.058 -0.06) 19.86% (0.106 0.11)
Both teams to score 41.46% (0.273 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.76% (0.282 0.28)61.24% (-0.28 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.83% (0.21 0.21)81.17% (-0.209 -0.21)
Senegal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.85% (0.102 0.1)23.15% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.98% (0.146 0.15)57.02% (-0.145 -0.14)
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.94% (0.286 0.29)46.05% (-0.284 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.24% (0.219 0.22)81.76% (-0.217 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Senegal 53.48%
    Burkina Faso 19.86%
    Draw 26.65%
SenegalDrawBurkina Faso
1-0 @ 15.59% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 11.41% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
3-0 @ 5.57% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.32% (0.027 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.67% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.58% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 53.48%
1-1 @ 12.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.66% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 3.43% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 8.27% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.69% (0.04 0.04)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.017 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.21% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 19.86%

How you voted: Senegal vs Burkina Faso

Senegal
94.1%
Draw
5.9%
Burkina Faso
0.0%
34
Head to Head
Feb 2, 2022 7pm
Semi-Finals
Burkina Faso
1-3
Senegal
Toure (82')
Guira (28')
Diallo (70'), Gueye (76'), Mane (87')
Sarr (50'), Abou Cisse (90+3')
rhs 2.0
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