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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
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Burton Albion
3 - 2
Reading

Burrell (10', 90+2'), Dadi Bodvarsson (29')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Craig (69'), Smith (71')
Ehibhaimha (36'), Garcia (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 4-2 Rotherham
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One

Reading

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-0 Reading
Saturday, January 25 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 2-1 Reading

 With a newfound sense of confidence and a new striker in Bodvarsson firing on all cylinders, the stars are aligning for Burton to repeat last season's home trick over an ailing Reading side. There may be 13 places and 20 points between the two clubs in the table, but the form book does not reflect that disparity, and Bowyer's men have our vote to prevail even if their familiar defensive struggles at home rear their ugly heads. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 38.34%. A win for Reading had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (8.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawReading
38.34% (0.0050000000000026 0.01) 25.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 35.76% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 54.52% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.22% (0.017999999999994 0.02)49.78% (-0.023999999999994 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)71.78% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.57% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.43% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.75% (0.015000000000001 0.02)60.24% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (0.0049999999999955 0)26.88% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.8% (0.010000000000005 0.01)62.2% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 38.34%
    Reading 35.76%
    Draw 25.89%
Burton AlbionDrawReading
1-0 @ 9.36% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.0010000000000012 0)
2-0 @ 6.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.84% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.32% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 38.34%
1-1 @ 12.29%
0-0 @ 6.84% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.89%
0-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 5.9% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 3.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.58%
2-3 @ 2.42% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 35.76%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Reading

Burton Albion
44.0%
Draw
18.0%
Reading
38.0%
50
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 9
Reading
3-1
Burton Albion
Campbell (23', 42'), Smith (82')
Ehibhaimha (50'), Savage (85')
Orsi (84')
Willis (41'), Watt (81')
> Preview
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Burton Albion
3-2
Reading
Bennett (5'), Carayol (11'), Kamwa (42')
Bennett (75'), Ola-Adebomi (90+7')
Wing (34'), Smith (59' pen.)
> Preview
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Reading
0-0
Burton Albion
McIntyre (44')
Baah (45+12'), Hamer (50'), Seddon (66'), Powell (90+2')
Jan 30, 2018 7.45pm
Burton Albion
1-3
Reading
Akins (51' pen.)
Turner (29'), Buxton (38'), McFadzean (86')
Dadi Bodvarsson (20', 68'), Gunter (57')
Moore (27'), Dadi Bodvarsson (68'), Ilori (71')
Dec 23, 2017 3pm
Reading
1-2
Burton Albion
Barrow (76')
Flanagan (40'), Naylor (81')
Murphy (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham26186244182660
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe28177454292558
3Wrexham28157641241752
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield27146739231648
5Stockport CountyStockport28138743281547
6Leyton Orient27135940241644
7Bolton WanderersBolton28135104342144
8Charlton AthleticCharlton2712783426843
9Barnsley28126104139242
10Reading27125104241141
11Lincoln CityLincoln28108103433138
12Mansfield TownMansfield26114113432237
13Blackpool2791083938137
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham27107103231137
15Stevenage2610792324-137
16Wigan AthleticWigan2796122627-133
17Exeter CityExeter2895143242-1032
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
20Northampton TownNorthampton2869132543-1827
21Burton Albion2859143044-1424
22Crawley TownCrawley2666142646-2024
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge2756162849-2121
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2755172647-2120
> League One Full Table


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