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League One | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Select Car Leasing Stadium
Northampton Town

Reading
vs.
Northampton

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Reading and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Reading
Saturday, December 21 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-5 Charlton
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League One

We say: Reading 2-0 Northampton Town

While Northampton could be boosted by a different voice in the dressing room, the hosts should secure a routine win on Boxing Day. Reading have the fifth-best home return in League One, and that statistic should be advantageous against an opponent winless in their last eight road matches (five losses). Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Reading win with a probability of 65.54%. A draw has a probability of 19.7% and a win for Northampton Town has a probability of 14.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win is 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.32%), while for a Northampton Town win it is 0-1 (4.4%).

Result
ReadingDrawNorthampton Town
65.54% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 19.69% (-0.029 -0.03) 14.77% (-0.035 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.89% (0.047999999999995 0.05)42.1% (-0.055 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.49% (0.048000000000002 0.05)64.5% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.96% (0.025999999999996 0.03)12.03% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.47% (0.063000000000002 0.06)37.52% (-0.07 -0.07)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.03% (-0.017999999999994 -0.02)40.96% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.47% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)77.52% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Reading 65.53%
    Northampton Town 14.77%
    Draw 19.69%
ReadingDrawNorthampton Town
2-0 @ 11.05% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 7.8% (0.011 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.96% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 4.13% (0.011 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.69% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.75% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 65.53%
1-1 @ 9.32% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.93% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.69%
0-1 @ 4.4% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.16% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.96% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 14.77%

Who will win Thursday's League One clash between Reading and Northampton?

Reading
Draw
Northampton Town
Reading
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Northampton Town
0.0%
3
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 41
Reading
1-0
Northampton
Ehibhaimha (65')
Elliott (22')

Monthe (4')
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Northampton
3-1
Reading
Hoskins (10'), Appere (37'), Pinnock (90+6')
McWilliams (80')
Ballard (66')
Savage (11'), Ehibhaimha (15'), Mola (78')
Yiadom (90+1'), Mola (90+8')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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