Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 84.38%. A draw had a probability of 10.4% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 5.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 4-0 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.8%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-2 (1.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Livingston |
84.38% ( 0.12) | 10.36% ( -0.06) | 5.27% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 48.15% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.38% ( 0.09) | 26.62% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53% ( 0.11) | 47% ( -0.11) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
95.57% ( 0.03) | 4.43% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
81.76% ( 0.1) | 18.24% ( -0.1) |
Livingston Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
50.38% ( -0.1) | 49.62% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
15.61% ( -0.07) | 84.39% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Livingston |
3-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 6.06% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 3.77% ( 0.01) 6-0 @ 2.8% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.12% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.32% ( 0) 7-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.47% Total : 84.37% | 1-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.73% Total : 10.36% | 1-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 5.27% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 47 | 19 | 28 | 50 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 37 | -2 | 30 |
7 | St Mirren | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 30 |
8 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
9 | Hearts | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 27 |
10 | Ross County | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 26 |
11 | Kilmarnock | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 27 | 40 | -13 | 25 |
12 | St Johnstone | 24 | 5 | 3 | 16 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 18 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |