Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 78.19%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 8.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
78.19% ( 0.06) | 13.24% ( -0.02) | 8.57% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.22% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.38% ( -0.03) | 27.62% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.74% ( -0.03) | 48.26% ( 0.04) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.36% ( 0.01) | 5.64% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.15% ( 0.01) | 21.85% ( -0.01) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.52% ( -0.09) | 41.48% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.02% ( -0.08) | 77.98% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 8.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.84% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.62% 5-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 5.03% Total : 78.19% | 1-1 @ 5.92% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 13.24% | 1-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 8.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 15 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 44 | 4 | 40 | 43 |
2 | Aberdeen | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 30 | 18 | 12 | 34 |
3 | RangersRangers | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
4 | Motherwell | 17 | 8 | 2 | 7 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 26 |
5 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
6 | St Mirren | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 28 | -6 | 21 |
7 | Dundee | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 19 |
8 | Kilmarnock | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 35 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Hibernian | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 15 |
10 | Ross County | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 33 | -20 | 15 |
11 | St Johnstone | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 14 |
12 | Hearts | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 26 | -8 | 13 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |