Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 78.19%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Aberdeen had a probability of 8.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.92%), while for an Aberdeen win it was 1-2 (2.6%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result | ||
Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
78.19% ( 0.06) | 13.24% ( -0.02) | 8.57% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 55.22% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.38% ( -0.03) | 27.62% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.74% ( -0.03) | 48.26% ( 0.04) |
Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.36% ( 0.01) | 5.64% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.15% ( 0.01) | 21.85% ( -0.01) |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.52% ( -0.09) | 41.48% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.02% ( -0.08) | 77.98% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Celtic | Draw | Aberdeen |
2-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 8.16% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 5.86% ( -0) 5-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.84% ( 0) 6-1 @ 1.62% 5-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) Other @ 5.03% Total : 78.19% | 1-1 @ 5.92% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.34% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 13.24% | 1-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 2.06% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.91% Total : 8.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Celtic | 23 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 64 | 11 | 53 | 60 |
2 | RangersRangers | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 44 | 18 | 26 | 47 |
3 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 37 |
4 | Aberdeen | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 32 | 33 | -1 | 35 |
5 | Motherwell | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 28 | 37 | -9 | 31 |
6 | Hibernian | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 29 |
7 | Dundee | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 27 |
8 | St Mirren | 23 | 8 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 27 |
9 | Kilmarnock | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 25 |
10 | Ross County | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 42 | -19 | 25 |
11 | Hearts | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 24 |
12 | St Johnstone | 23 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 25 | 47 | -22 | 15 |
> Scottish Premiership Full Table |