MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 16:38:17| >> :60:275:275:
Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 8, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Mansiche
Medellin

Cesar Vallejo
1 - 5
Medellin

Velez (21')
Velez (17'), Deneumostier (19')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Muniz (15', 45'), Garcia (59'), Monsalve (73'), Perlaza (79')
Chaverra (31')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cesar Vallejo and Independiente Medellin.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Always Ready 2-0 Cesar Vallejo
Friday, April 26 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
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:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Medellin 2-1 Defensa
Friday, April 26 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente Medellin win with a probability of 37.94%. A win for Cesar Vallejo had a probability of 35.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente Medellin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Cesar Vallejo win was 1-0 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente Medellin would win this match.

Result
Cesar VallejoDrawIndependiente Medellin
35.96% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 26.1% (-0.0019999999999989 -0) 37.94% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 53.86% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.37%50.63% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.46%72.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Cesar Vallejo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.83% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)27.17% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.43%62.57% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Independiente Medellin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.96% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)26.04% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.92%61.07% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cesar Vallejo 35.96%
    Independiente Medellin 37.94%
    Draw 26.1%
Cesar VallejoDrawIndependiente Medellin
1-0 @ 9.22% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.08%
2-0 @ 6.01%
3-1 @ 3.51%
3-0 @ 2.61%
3-2 @ 2.36%
4-1 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 35.96%
1-1 @ 12.4%
0-0 @ 7.07% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 5.44%
3-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.1%
0-1 @ 9.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.35%
0-2 @ 6.41%
1-3 @ 3.74%
0-3 @ 2.87%
2-3 @ 2.44%
1-4 @ 1.26%
0-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 37.94%

Head to Head
Apr 11, 2024 3am
Group Stage
Medellin
4-2
Cesar Vallejo
Vasquez (12', 23' pen.), Muniz (48'), Garcia (79')
Mena (63'), Velez (76' pen.)
Guerrero (24'), Salas (25')
rhs 2.0
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