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National League South | Gameweek 13
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Meadow

Chesham
3 - 1
Chippenham

Cawley (87'), Esan (88'), Colwell (90+8' og.)
Minhas (24'), Adebiyi (30')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Parsons (26')
Haines (44'), Parsons (53'), King (56'), Dawes (61')
Dawes (73')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chesham United and Chippenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weymouth 1-1 Chesham
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 3-0 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 48.25%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 27.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.

Result
Chesham UnitedDrawChippenham Town
48.25% (0.295 0.3) 24.23% (-0.107 -0.11) 27.51% (-0.189 -0.19)
Both teams to score 56.53% (0.208 0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.44% (0.344 0.34)45.56% (-0.343 -0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.11% (0.325 0.32)67.89% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.02% (0.255 0.25)18.97% (-0.254 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.49% (0.422 0.42)50.51% (-0.422 -0.42)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.77% (0.036999999999992 0.04)30.23% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.61% (0.045999999999999 0.05)66.39% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Chesham United 48.25%
    Chippenham Town 27.51%
    Draw 24.23%
Chesham UnitedDrawChippenham Town
1-0 @ 9.53% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-1 @ 9.48% (0.023999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.25% (0.055000000000001 0.06)
3-0 @ 4.39% (0.042 0.04)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.18% (0.04 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 48.25%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.084 -0.08)
2-2 @ 5.67% (0.02 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.86% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.11% (-0.050999999999999 -0.05)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.26% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 27.51%

rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Weston-super-MareWeston17114231151637
2Truro CityTruro City18104429161334
3Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne1810442722534
4Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd188732216631
5Dorking WanderersDorking198653529630
6Farnborough TownFarnborough189363127430
7Worthing178542728-129
8Slough TownSlough1884633231028
9Boreham WoodBoreham Wood1776425141127
10Hampton & RichmondHampton177462417725
11Chippenham TownChippenham187472419525
12Chesham UnitedChesham157352722524
13Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels156632015524
14Maidstone UnitedMaidstone165832018223
15AFC HornchurchHornchurch176561617-123
16Chelmsford CityChelmsford City175752825322
17Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.196492533-822
18Welling UnitedWelling United1861111934-1519
19Salisbury164572227-517
20Bath City1844101326-1316
21St Albans CitySt Albans City172691625-912
22Weymouth172691122-1112
23Aveley1732121730-1311
24Enfield Town1732121638-2211


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