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National League South | Gameweek 8
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Meadow

Chesham
3 - 2
Aveley

Stevens (71'), Esan (90+3'), Aransibia (90+4')
Adebiyi (79'), Jones (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coleman De-Graft (10'), Kawa (65')
Gibbs (48'), Kawa (73'), Aileru (85'), Hughes (87')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chesham United and Aveley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salisbury 1-2 Chesham
Tuesday, September 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Aveley 3-1 Dorking
Monday, September 2 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 46.04%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 29.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Aveley win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.

Result
Chesham UnitedDrawAveley
46.04% (0.012999999999998 0.01) 24.66% (-0.0040000000000013 -0) 29.29% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.66% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.34% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.37% (0.010000000000002 0.01)68.63% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.79% (0.0080000000000098 0.01)20.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.47% (0.013999999999996 0.01)52.52% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Aveley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.66% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)29.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.68% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)65.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Chesham United 46.04%
    Aveley 29.3%
    Draw 24.66%
Chesham UnitedDrawAveley
1-0 @ 9.48% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 9.3% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.58% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 3.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 46.04%
1-1 @ 11.62%
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.7%
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.66%
0-1 @ 7.27% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 7.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.37%
Total : 29.3%

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