Copa Sudamericana | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Sep 20, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Dr. Nicolas Leoz
Libertad0 - 2Cruzeiro
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ameliano 0-0 Libertad (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, August 22 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, August 22 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
We said: Club Libertad 0-0 Cruzeiro
It has not been an easy path to the quarter-finals for either side, and given Cruzeiro's inexperience at this stage, along with the lack of consistent quality from the home side, we expect chances will be at a premium for this opening fixture. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Club Libertad had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Club Libertad win was 1-0 (10.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Club Libertad | Draw | Cruzeiro |
32.26% ( -0.03) | 27.75% ( 0.02) | 39.99% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.28% ( -0.09) | 57.72% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.53% ( -0.07) | 78.47% ( 0.07) |
| Club Libertad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( -0.06) | 33.08% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.33% ( -0.07) | 69.67% ( 0.07) |
| Cruzeiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( -0.04) | 28.22% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.08% ( -0.05) | 63.92% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
Club Libertad 32.25%
Cruzeiro 39.98%
Draw 27.74%
| Club Libertad | Draw | Cruzeiro |
| 1-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.67% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.11% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.25% | 1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.33% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.26% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0)0-4 @ 1% ( -0)Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.98% |
How you voted: Libertad vs Cruzeiro
Club Libertad
50.0%Draw
20.0%Cruzeiro
30.0%20
Form Guide
