Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Cruzeiro win 5-4 on penalties
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 47.08% . A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 25.79% .
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.87%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%) , while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (9.09%) . The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood . Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
Result Cruzeiro Draw Boca Juniors 47.08% ( -0.04) 27.13% ( 0.12) 25.79% ( -0.08)
Both teams to score 46.37% ( -0.38)
41.83% ( -0.46) 58.17% ( 0.46)
21.18% ( -0.36) 78.82% ( 0.36)
75.26% ( -0.22) 24.74% ( 0.22)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 40.7% ( -0.31) 59.3% ( 0.31)
61.62% ( -0.32) 38.38% ( 0.32)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 24.86% ( -0.31) 75.14% ( 0.31)
Cruzeiro 47.08%
Boca Juniors 25.79%
Draw 27.13%
Cruzeiro Draw Boca Juniors 1-0 @ 13.26% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.32% Total : 47.08% 1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.13% 0-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.35% 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.57% Total : 25.79%
How you voted: Cruzeiro vs Boca Juniors
24
rhs 2.0
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