Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Aug 23, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto
Cruzeiro2 - 1Boca Juniors
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Vitoria 2-2 Cruzeiro
Tuesday, August 20 at 12am in Brasileiro
Tuesday, August 20 at 12am in Brasileiro
Goals
for
for
31
Last Game: Boca Juniors 3-2 San Lorenzo
Sunday, August 18 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Sunday, August 18 at 6.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Goals
for
for
39
We said: Cruzeiro 1-1 Boca Juniors (Boca Juniors advance 2-1 on aggregate)
Having come through their league fixture against San Lorenzo (3-2 win) unscathed despite resting several starters, a fresher Boca side should continue their unbeaten run by avoiding defeat in Belo Horizonte to progress to the competition's last eight at Cruzeiro's expense. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cruzeiro win with a probability of 47.08%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Boca Juniors had a probability of 25.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cruzeiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.26%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for a Boca Juniors win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cruzeiro would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cruzeiro | Draw | Boca Juniors |
47.08% ( -0.04) | 27.13% ( 0.12) | 25.79% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 46.37% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
