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Champions League
Champions League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Varosi Stadion (Mezokovesd)

Dinamo Minsk
0 - 0
Pyunik


Pigas (60'), Alfred (74'), Demchenko (79')
FT

Melikyan (52'), Vakulenko (55'), Enrique Caraballo Rosal (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Dinamo Minsk and FC Pyunik, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dinamo Minsk

All competitions
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Dinamo Brest
Thursday, July 4 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League

FC Pyunik

All competitions
Last Game: Pyunik 0-3 Bodo/Glimt
Thursday, August 17 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

We said: Dinamo Minsk 1-0 FC Pyunik

 Minsk will enter this opening round of Champions League qualifying as the more match-fit side considering they are already midway through their domestic league campaign, while the visitors have not played a competitive match in two months. We are expecting a close contest but fancy the hosts to edge this first-leg encounter. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Pyunik win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Dinamo Minsk had a probability of 28.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Pyunik win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Dinamo MinskDrawFC Pyunik
28.53% (-0.16 -0.16) 26.52% (0.121 0.12) 44.95% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.04% (-0.452 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.61% (-0.539 -0.54)54.39% (0.54000000000001 0.54)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24% (-0.452 -0.45)75.76% (0.452 0.45)
Dinamo Minsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.93% (-0.407 -0.41)34.07% (0.407 0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.24% (-0.441 -0.44)70.76% (0.44 0.44)
FC Pyunik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.9% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)24.1% (0.217 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.61% (-0.308 -0.31)58.39% (0.308 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Minsk 28.53%
    FC Pyunik 44.95%
    Draw 26.51%
Dinamo MinskDrawFC Pyunik
1-0 @ 8.84% (0.087 0.09)
2-1 @ 6.77% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.76% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.43% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.71% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 28.53%
1-1 @ 12.58% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.171 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.82% (-0.067 -0.07)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 26.51%
0-1 @ 11.68% (0.17 0.17)
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.31% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.25% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.94% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.29% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.51% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 44.95%

How you voted: Dinamo Minsk vs Pyunik

Dinamo Minsk
60.0%
Draw
23.5%
FC Pyunik
16.5%
85
rhs 2.0
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