While the Dominican Republic made a promising start to their Olympics campaign, they have historically struggled against the bigger European nations, and we feel they will be no match for the Spaniards in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain Under-23s win with a probability of 41.1%. A win for Dominican Republic Under-23s had a probability of 37.05% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.06%) and 0-1 (4.99%). The likeliest Dominican Republic Under-23s win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Spain Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Dominican Republic Under-23s	Draw	Spain Under-23s
37.05% ( -13.95)	21.85% ( -0.5)	41.1% ( 14.45)

Both teams to score 69.88% (

7.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.04% (

7.59)

29.96% (

-7.59)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.86% (

8.63)

51.14% (

-8.64)

Dominican Republic Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.78% (

-2.27)

17.22% (

2.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.48% (

-4.14)

47.52% (

4.14)

Spain Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.42% (

11.1)

15.58% (

-11.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.45% (

17.38)

44.55% (

-17.38)

Score Analysis

Dominican Republic Under-23s 37.05%

Spain Under-23s 41.1%

Draw 21.85%

Dominican Republic Under-23s	Draw	Spain Under-23s
2-1 @ 7.72% ( -1.8) 1-0 @ 4.72% ( -2.86) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( -1.5) 3-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 4.15% ( -3.05) 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -2.13) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.87) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.04) 4-3 @ 1.15% ( 0.31) 4-0 @ 1.07% ( -1.1) Other @ 3.24% Total : 37.05%	1-1 @ 8.78% ( -1.24) 2-2 @ 7.17% ( 0.89) 0-0 @ 2.68% ( -1.31) 3-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.85) Other @ 0.61% Total : 21.85%	1-2 @ 8.16% ( 1.54) 1-3 @ 5.06% ( 2.14) 0-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.28) 0-2 @ 4.64% ( 1.15) 2-3 @ 4.45% ( 1.68) 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 1.34) 1-4 @ 2.35% ( 1.39) 2-4 @ 2.07% ( 1.15) 0-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.83) 3-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.63) Other @ 3.98% Total : 41.1%