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Champions League
Midtjylland
Champions League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 31, 2024 at 6.15pm UK
MCH Arena

Midtjylland
1 - 0
UE Santa Coloma

Osorio (72')
Gabriel (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Ezequiel Gonzalez Monzon (13'), Perez Lluch (22'), Da Cunha Costa Gomes (57'), El Ghzaoui Darir (58')
Perez Lluch (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between FC Midtjylland and UE Santa Coloma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Midtjylland

All competitions
Champions League
Last Game: Nordsjaelland 2-2 Midtjylland
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Danish Superliga

UE Santa Coloma

All competitions
Last Game: UE Santa Coloma 0-3 Midtjylland
Tuesday, July 23 at 7pm in Champions League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Randers63.00Bany
2Brondby52.50Yeboah
3Copenhagen52.50Oskarsson
4Nordsjaelland52.50Harder
5Viborg42.00Vester
6Aarhus31.50Bech
7Midtjylland31.50Sorensen
8Vejle31.50Onugkha
9AaB21.00Hojholt
10Silkeborg21.00Mattsson
11Lyngby Boldklub10.50Gytkjaer
12SonderjyskE10.50Sommer

We said: FC Midtjylland 3-0 UE Santa Coloma

 Having secured a comfortable lead in the first leg on the road, Midtjylland will return to Denmark this week feeling very good about their chances of progressing. Based on last week's performance, we feel the Danish champs will claim another impressive result in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Midtjylland win with a probability of 74.84%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for UE Santa Coloma had a probability of 10.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Midtjylland win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9%) and 3-0 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.7%), while for a UE Santa Coloma win it was 1-2 (3.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Midtjylland would win this match.

Result
FC MidtjyllandDrawUE Santa Coloma
74.84% (-0.64700000000001 -0.65) 14.86% (0.266 0.27) 10.3% (0.384 0.38)
Both teams to score 55.9% (0.5 0.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.8% (-0.11 -0.11)30.2% (0.113 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.57% (-0.131 -0.13)51.43% (0.13500000000001 0.14)
FC Midtjylland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.2% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)6.8% (0.1471 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.93% (-0.39599999999999 -0.4)25.07% (0.398 0.4)
UE Santa Coloma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.97% (0.63099999999999 0.63)40.03% (-0.627 -0.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.32% (0.571 0.57)76.68% (-0.56899999999999 -0.57)
Score Analysis
    FC Midtjylland 74.84%
    UE Santa Coloma 10.3%
    Draw 14.86%
FC MidtjyllandDrawUE Santa Coloma
2-0 @ 9.83% (-0.097 -0.1)
2-1 @ 9% (0.065 0.06)
3-0 @ 8.81% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-1 @ 8.07% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.32% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 5.92% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-1 @ 5.42% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.69% (0.059 0.06)
5-0 @ 3.19% (-0.111 -0.11)
5-1 @ 2.92% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 2.48% (0.02 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.43% (-0.061 -0.06)
5-2 @ 1.34%
6-1 @ 1.31% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 4.1%
Total : 74.84%
1-1 @ 6.7% (0.103 0.1)
2-2 @ 4.12% (0.099 0.1)
0-0 @ 2.72% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.13% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 14.86%
1-2 @ 3.07% (0.098 0.1)
0-1 @ 2.49% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.26% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 1.14% (0.045 0.04)
1-3 @ 0.94% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 10.3%

How you voted: Midtjylland vs UE Santa Coloma

FC Midtjylland
89.2%
Draw
8.1%
UE Santa Coloma
2.7%
37
Head to Head
Jul 23, 2024 7pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
UE Santa Coloma
0-3
Midtjylland

Mohedano (70'), Garcia (73')
Franculino (12'), Diao (28'), Simsir (63')
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